Abstracts of Main Articles

SANCTIONS AND OTHER CRISIS FACTORS IMPACT ASSESSMENT ON THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY’S STATE

Authors

Glazyev S.Yu., Doctor of Economic Sciences, Professor, Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Adviser to the President of the Russian Federation on Regional Economic Integration,

Arkhipova V.V., Candidate of Economic Sciences, Senior Researcher of the RAS FGBUN Institute of Economics

Abstract

The main purpose of the research is to develop the methodology of assessment different kinds of internal and external factors caused the current crisis of Russian economy including sanctions and changes in monetary policy of the national Central Bank. Raising of interest rates, pushing ruble into a free­floating exchange rate regime and anti­Russian sanctions coincided with dramatic transition of national economy from sustainable growth (of 3–5%) position to stagflation trap. In this paper we compare the dynamic of target macroeconomic indicators of 2014–2016 with the same parameters within the pre­crisis trajectory of 2010– 2013. We also provided a detailed classification of the factors and used the elements of correlation analysis in order to determine the power of causal dependencies between them. The selection of target indicators is based on the division of Russian economy into sectors (trade, financial, budget and real). As a result, we estimated Russian losses expressed in the form of negative effects caused by current sanctions regime and the Central Bank policy by sectors. The authors came to a conclusion that negative consequences of sanctions took place and could increase during the analyzed sanctions’ period 2014–2016 not only because of external shocks (volatility of oil prices, current trends and the state of the world financial system, etc.), but also due to internal factors («failures» of regulation of the national economy).

Keywords

Regime of sanctions, pure sanctions’ effect, negative effect of Central Bank.

 

MANAGEMENT OF REGIONAL ECONOMY: THE LACK OF EFFECTIVE METHODS OR THE IMPASSE OF A LIBERAL CONCEPT

Author

Mezhov I.S.,Doctor of Economics, Full Professor, Department of Economy and Production Management, Polzunov Altai State Technical University, Barnaul, Russia

Abstract

Provides an analysis of trends and dynamics of inter­industry structure of the regional economy and examines theoretical and methodological approaches to solving social and economic problems in the management of economic complex, in particular, the sustainable growth of GRP and consolidated budget. It is shown that in conditions of private ownership of enterprises and a large share of non­residents significantly impairs the efficiency of development of branches of regional economy, investments do not reach even the size of simple reproduction, there is an obvious degradation of the industrial complex. An attempt to answer the question: why adopt strategies to improve the controllability of the region does not lead to the desired results. One of the reasons is that if the region as a control object does not respond to control inputs, or responds not as planned, then there is a clear gap management tools and selected concepts of the model of the object. The purpose of the article is to find effective methods to ensure the growth of the regional economy, in particular, the Gross Regional Product and the formation of positive trends in the development of its industries. It is necessary to consider, on the basis, of analysis of actual practice of the regional economy that have been significant changes in the basic paradigms and concepts of management. Discusses the need for clarification and adjustment of those provisions of the theory which, affect the balance of interests of private owners of enterprises and the organization and interests of the population of the region on which they are geographically located, using regional resources and have historically been sources of income in the region.

Keywords

Region, inter-industry balance, reproduction, gross regional product, the conceptual model, regional management. 

 

URBAN AGGLOMERATIONS IN THE URBAN SPACE TRANSFORMATION

Author

Shvetsov A.N., Doctor of Economics, Professor, Deputy Director of the Institute of System Analysis, RAS

Abstract

Key characteristic for the current stage of Russian urbanization is, as in the rest of the world, an increasing urban space polarization. There is a dynamic growth of some large cities and their population, which leads to a steady urban agglomerations enhancement as a form of spatial resettlement and livelihoods organization. Is this process a condition or consequence of economic growth? Should it be seen like a chance for development or like a threat? There is no single­cut answer. Some researchers persuasively insist the agglomerations development with the transport highways network expansion is the main way for our country with its vast territory to overcome the Russian­specific “space barrier”, and therefore one should bet on the largest cities, where the impact of the agglomeration effect is maximized and where the competition with other cities is won. Other researchers cautiously warn that urbanization has its pros and cons, so the question about effectiveness of concentration significant part of economic activity in a small number of large cities still stands, and it will be a great simplification to see the their growth a state development guarantee. Author also thinks if we are to follow one opinion, we are risking to become hostages to the excessive exaggeration of agglomeration process positive significance, which is fraught with the unrestrained human resources pulling to the capital and the largest cities and leads to a land desertification, and if we are to follow others, we can face the danger of underestimating the agglomeration effect and the risk of missing a rare opportunity to enter the trajectory of rapid economic growth. In author’s opinion the solution can not consist in a simple choice between these alternatives. Campaign approaches, be it under the slogan “Give agglomeration!” or “Down with the agglomeration!”, Serious studies of the prerequisites, content and consequences of the agglomeration process, taken in the system of developing spatial forms of urban (and rural) settlement in specific Russian conditions, but with understanding of world trends.

Keywords

Urbanization, cities, urban agglomerations, space transformation, agglomeration development management, foreign experience of agglomeration development.

 

PROBLEMS OF EVALUATING THE EFFICIENCY OF STATE REGULATION AND BUDGET SUPPORT OF THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY

Authors

Gumerov R.R., Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Leading Research Fellow, Institute of Macroeconomic Studies, RFTA, 

Guseva N.V., Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Leading Research Fellow, Institute of Macroeconomic Studies, RFTA

Abstract

The article proves the reasonability of a comprehensive assessment of the public efficiency of state regulation of the national economy by the criteria of socio-economic efficiency, effectiveness and economy. Specific examples show that a mixture of these criteria can lead not only to erroneous, but to unacceptable conclusions. The efficiency of state regulation is assessed at the level of state economic policy, sectoral policies, and individual regulatory measures. The author cautions against attempts to “digitize” the impact of individual measures, to give each of them an accurate quantitative assessment. The possibilities of such an assessment are limited by the historical and macroeconomic context, nature and degree of interaction with other regulatory measures, increasing fundamental uncertainty. The best world practices testify to quite wide ranges of quantitative evaluation of the efficiency of regulatory measures. Based on expert assessments, we can with sufficient confidence speak about the presence, nature and dynamics of the impact of a measure of state regulation on a particular parameter of the management object, and with a significantly smaller share of confidence — the quantitative dependencies that can be described by any function. As one of the first steps in the formation of a system of reliable evaluation of the efficiency of state regulation of the national economy, it is proposed to develop a General Catalog of regulatory measures.

 

«GREEN ECONOMY» IN THE CONTEXT OF THE STATE POLICY OF POST-SOVIET COUNTRIES

Authors

Vilisov M.V., Candidate of Political Sciences, Associate Professor at Public Policy Department, Faculty of Political Science, Lomonosov Moscow State University,

Nazarova Yu.A., Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia

Abstract

Despite the fact that the «green economy» concept has been discussed in world science and politics for a long time, this concept is on the periphery of political-state discussions in Russia. The EEU partners pay much more attention to this issue. The new renewable energy sector including manufacturing and energy companies has been actively forming in Russia recently. Can the results of this activity create the basis for a review of Russian policy?

Keywords

Renewable energy sources, Russia, renewable energy regulatory framework, «green economy» concept, Kazakhstan, Belarus, investment, sustainable development. 

 

TO FORMATION OF THE ORGANIZATIONAL AND ECONOMIC MECHANISM OF ENSURING INTEGRATION PRODUCTION AND SCIENTIFIC AND EDUCATIONAL SPHERES

Authors

Vinslav Yu.B., Doctor of Economics, Professor, Chief Researcher, Russian State Geological Prospecting University n. a. Sergo Ordzhonikidzе (MGRI-RSGPU),

Lisov S.V., Candidate of Economic Sciences, Senior Research Associate, Russian State Geological Prospecting University n. a. Sergo Ordzhonikidzе (MGRI-RSGPU) 

Abstract

Authors of article consider a problem of formation of administrative tools of ensuring integration of production, scientific and educational spheres, relevant for domestic economy. Multilevel approach to a problem is implemented. The main methodical requirements to her decision assuming as creation of external (macrolevel), and internal (microlevel) conditions of integration are offered. Organizational algorithms of the corresponding administrative actions, including creation of system of incentives are stated.

Keywords

Education, science, production, balance, integration, organizational and economic mechanism, corporate management, integration incentives. 

 

SOCIALISTIC PROJECT KEY IDEAS AND THE CONTRADICTIONS OF THEIR INCARNATION IN SOVIET HISTORY. ESTIMATES OF 100 YEARS AFTER (on the occasion of two books issued for the 100th anniversary of the October Revolution)

Author

Lyubinin A.B., Doctor of Economics, Professor

Abstract

The author considerates on the two collective works «Karl Marx, Friedrich Engels and Vladimir Lenin o Socializme I Kommunizme» (capital publishing house «Algorithm» participates in the book publishing) and «Ot Velikogo Оktyabrya k sovetskomu socializmu. Vzglyad 100 let spustya» which were prepared for the 100th anniversary of the October Revolution and published in 2017 by the Moscow publishing house «Mir filosofii».

The first peer-reviewed publication is a carefully verified scientific and information source prepared by people who devoted themselves to the study and publication of Marxist texts (by the Institute of Marxism- Leninism under the CPSU Central Committee). The authors of the second book, famous philosophers, historians and political economists, give their detailed answers to key questions related to October 17. The article does not pretend to be a comprehensive system commentary on these works. At the same time, the severity of the stated subject matter and the personal involvement of the author in its development made it necessary for him to disclose, and at times in detail, his position, emphasizing, first and foremost, the political and economic aspects of the issues raised.

Keywords

October Revolution of 1917, dialectics of objective and subjective, Socialism in the USSR, Soviet counterrevolution, peace, freedom, equality, NEP, Russian World, Transitional forms, social justice and responsibility, national idea, N.I. Bukharin, N. Bakunin, K. Marx, F. Engels, V.I. Lenin, I.V. Stalin, Vodolazov, L. Anninsky, F. Hayek, M. Gefter, M.A. Lifshits.